Posts Tagged: ‘steel market’

Gerdau – New Mining Plan; Global Steel Consumption to Accelerate in 2013 – Thoughts from the 3Q Conference Call

November 6, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Gerdau (GGB) reported 3Q EBITDA of R$1.033B, below the Street’s R$1.218B, and 2Q’s R$1.244B due to weaker performance from the North America, Specialty Steel and …more

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Steel Market Production Report – Chinese Capacity Continues to Come Online

November 6, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese steelmaker Bagang plans to acquire Baosteel’s 3 mtpy Nanjiang integrated longs facility, bringing the company’s total capacity to 11 mtpy. The Nanjiang project has been under construction since 2010 and Bagang announced that trials will begin in 2Q13. Once completed, the facility will operate two 850,000 tpy bar mills and a 600,000 tpy wire rod mill.

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese steelmaker Hebei Xinjin Iron & Steel has commissioned a 600,000 tpy wire rod mill – the company’s second – lifting wire rod capacity to 1.1 mtpy.

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese steelmaker Baotou Iron & Steel plans to begin production at a new 400,000 tpy heat-treated rail line in about a year.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Russian steelmaker Severstal North America was forced to halt crude production at the Dearborn, MI facility due to an explosion in a cold air pipe; the outage could potentially  last as long as five weeks.

Steel Market Production Cuts – ArcelorMittal announced that it is reducing operations at the 750,000 tpy Georgetown, South Carolina wire rod mill by cutting down from three crews to two. The reduction is due to bad market conditions caused by imports and will be returned to normal once conditions improve.

Steel Market Production Increases – Swedish steelmaker SSAB has completed a 200,000 tpy expansion of the quench and tempering line at the Mobile, Al plant that produces high-strength plate for mining and construction; some of the plate will be shipped to China.

Steel Market Production Increases – French steelmaker Vallourec has commissioned a new 350,000 tpy seamless pipe mill (initial capacity) for OCTG in Youngstown, Ohio and plans to begin sales in “early 2013.”

Steel Market Production Increases – Brazilian steel producer Gerdau plans to commission a new 800,000 tpy HRC line at the company’s Acominas facility by year-end 2012, with commercial production beginning by the end of 1Q13. The company estimates that 2013 shipments could reach approximately 300,000 – 400,000 metric tons.

Steel Market Production Increases – Korean autosheet producer Hyundai-Hysco is building a new 1.5 mtpy pickling and cold-rolled mill scheduled to come on-line in May 2013.

Steel Market Production Increases – Ural Steel, a subsidiary of Russian steel producer Metalloinvest, has begun operating a 1.2 mtpy vacuum degasser at its EAF melt-shop.

Steel Market Production Increases – Indian steelmaker SAIL is planning to increase steelmaking capacity at the Bhilai facility from 3 mtpy to about 7 mtpy and will potentially supply the plant with iron ore from the new Eklama mine (license pending).

Steel Market Production Cuts – Chilean steelmaker CAP is reducing HRC output by operating the Talcahuano plant for only 15 days out of the month. The decrease is due to falling prices and low demand caused by cheap Chinese imports.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Indian steelmaker JSW is planning an outage of at least one month at the hot-dipped galvanizing line at the Vasind facility starting in the third week of November. The outage will reduce production by about 20,000 – 25,000 metric tons.

Sources: Steel Business Briefing, American Metal Market, SteelOrbis

October Steel Import Licenses Rise; Korean OCTG Tonnage Soars Fueling Fire for Trade Case

November 6, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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October import licenses rose 3.1% after posting continuous declines since April as a sharp pick-up in imports of line pipe (+67.6%), rails (+53.8%), beams (+34.4%) and …more

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AK Steel Trying to Lead with Another Sheet Price Hike

November 5, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Less than three weeks after US Steel led with a $40/ton sheet hike, AK Steel announced a second sheet price increase of $50/ton effective immediately today, bringing the total to $90/ton.

SBB’s domestic HRC price assessment had remained stable the past two weeks after jumping $25/ton (or 4.3%) less than a week after US Steel’s initial hike, and we believe this increase is an attempt to get the market to fully absorb the first $40/ton hike.

Scrap Will Help. Strengthening scrap will likely support the increase, as there are increasing reports of scrap purchases up as much as $45-55/ton. We believe other sheet mills are likely to follow, although we suspect mini-mills will wait for Chicago scrap prices to settle before announcing increases of their own.

A.M. Castle (CAS) – 4Q Down-Guide; Will Proceed as Stand-Alone – For Now – Thoughts from the 3Q Conference Call

November 5, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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A.M. Castle (CAS) reported adjusted 3Q earnings of $0.10/share, below the Street’s $0.13/share, but “in line with the company’s expectations,” according to …more

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Iron Ore Price Back Above $120

November 5, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The spot reference price for 62% Fe iron ore cfr North China rose 0.4% to $120.10 for the week ending November 2, 2012, after increasing 3.7% the week before, and is now 34.9% higher than the recent low of $89.00 on 9/7/2012.

The spot price for iron ore averaged $141.84 in 1Q, $139.35 in 2Q, and $112.12 in 3Q; this compares to an average of $167.59 for full-year 2011.

The post-recession low was $59.10 on March 27, 2009, while the high was $190.19 on February 17, 2011.

Source: The Steel Index

Vale – Inventory Cycle Near End; Gradual Strengthening of Global Economy Expected – Thoughts from the 3Q Conference Call

November 5, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Vale generated adjusted 3Q EBITDA of $4.28B, well short of the Street’s $4.76B and 2Q’s $5.5B. Management attributed the lower EBITDA sequentially mainly to declining …more

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CRU Offers Upbeat Outlook for Steel in the Near-Term

November 5, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

At CRU’s 6th annual North American Steel Conference held in Chicago last week, CRU Managing Consultant Robert Edwards presented the group’s outlook for steel demand and pricing going forward.

According to Mr. Edwards, CRU’s expectations for GDP growth are 2.3% in 2013 and 2.9% in 2014, assuming the fiscal cliff is averted. CRU’s expectation for steel demand through 1H13 is for a seasonal if not real recovery in demand along with a corresponding rise in prices from today through the end of 1H13.

Looking at specific markets, CRU anticipates automotive production in the United States to hit 14.9 million vehicles this year – gradually moving up to 17.2 million in 2017. Residential and non-residential construction activity is also expected to start showing growth totaling about 7% in the next 5 years.

Mr. Edwards did offer some caution regarding prices in the longer term, saying that HRC prices will likely peak in 2Q13 at $665/t and begin to drift downwards over the next 5 years due to slipping raw materials prices – after which CRU sees HRC below $600 on a sustained basis.

Steel Goes Head-to-Head with Alternative Materials at CRU’s 6th North American Steel Conference

November 5, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

At CRU’s 6th annual North American Steel Conference held in Chicago last week, panelists debated the long-time question of materials use in coming generations of automobiles.

On the side of Advanced High Strength Steels (AHSS),  Dr. PK Rastogi – Global Automotive Marketing Manager at ArcelorMittal said that it’s possible to build a car that can attain 54.5 mpg using AHHS while shifting to aluminum aluminum achieves only marginal improvement on this figure at higher cost.

Following this up was Curt Horvath – Technical Fellow of Materials and Corrosion Engineering at GM who said that he doesn’t see the auto industry moving away from steel due to the investments it has made in steel processing.

Ron Krupitzer – VP Automotive Applications at the American Iron & Steel Institute pointed out that when it comes to the total life-cycle carbon footprint of a vehicle made from AHSS vs. one made from aluminum, magnesium and carbon fiber – the vehicle made from AHSS had the smaller carbon footprint.

Umesh Gandhi – a scientist at the Toyota Research Institute of North America – said that much of the weight-savings AHSS can yield has been achieved already and that the next lowest hanging fruit is going to come in the form of glass fiber materials.

Alcoa’s Director of Automotive Sheet, Randall Scheps argued that aluminum is now 343 pounds of weight in the average car and that compared to engine modifications fuel efficiency gains are easier to achieve by switching to aluminum. He went on to say that the product they offer works with existing auto presses and that in 8 years he foresees 10 times the demand for rolled aluminum products.

Our Conclusion? In the 1970s at the time of the first gas crisis in the United States, the aluminum industry first stepped up to offer CAFE-compliant auto bodies to Detroit. In the 40+ years since that time, aluminum’s inroads have been meager as steel has stayed ahead of the curve with lightweighting, improved formability, longer-lifespan and dramatically improved recycling. We suspect that Detroit will stick with the tried-and-true.

 

 

 

Scrap Outlook – November Scrap Prices Set to Rebound

November 2, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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After declining nearly 20% over the past two months, we believe that November scrap buys will be done at higher levels in the coming days, with increases as large as $30…more

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