Archive for: ‘August 2013’

Domestic Raw Steel Production, Capacity Utilization Drop to Two-Month Low

August 26, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Weekly domestic raw steel production decreased 0.9% from last week’s 1.878 million tons (mt) to 1.861 mt for the week ending August 24, 2013, falling to a two-month low and remaining at some 0.1% above the year-ago level of 1.863 mt.

We would caution readers that only half of the AISI reporting companies release their weekly production in “real time” so the other half of this data is estimated using the last month’s reported production & operating rate. What this means is that when production is changing, the weekly data is actually understating the change.

Capacity utilization dropped from 78.4% last week to 77.7% this week, which is also a two-month low, but is above the year-ago level of 75.4%.

The lowest production since the recession began was 800,000 tons for the week of December 27, 2008, while the highest was 2.005 mt for the week of May 12, 2012. The lowest capacity utilization rate since the recession began was 33.5% for the week of December 27, 2008; the highest was 81.1% on May 12, 2012.

Source: AISI and Steel Market Intelligence

Iron Ore Price Remains at Four-Month High

August 26, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The spot reference price for 62% Fe iron ore cfr North China rose 0.5% to $138.60 for the week ending August 23, 2013, remaining at a four-month w-o-w high but slightly lower than the recent mid-week price of $142.80.

The spot price for iron ore averaged $112.12 in 3Q12, $120.57 in 4Q12, $148.16 in 1Q13, and $125.76 in 2Q13; the full-year 2012 average was $128.30.

The post-recession low was $59.10 on March 27, 2009, while the high was $190.19 on February 17, 2011.

Source: The Steel Index

U.S. Rig Count Falls From Eight-Month High, Canadian Count Remains at Five-Month High

August 26, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The number of active oil and natural gas rigs in the United States decreased 0.8% to 1,776 for the week ending August 23, 2013, falling from 1,791 last week, which was the highest count since December 14, 2012.  The count is also some 6.4% below the year-ago level of 1,898.

The highest weekly rig count in the United States since 1940 was recorded on December 28, 1981, at 4,530; the lowest was recorded on April 23, 1999, at 488.

The number of rigs in Canada climbed 7.0% to 383 this week, maintaining the highest count since March 22, 2013.  The count is also some 14.7% above the year-ago level of 334.

The highest rig count for Canada was 727 on February 3, 2006; the lowest was 29, recorded on April 24, 1992.

Source: Baker Hughes Inc.

July ABI – Total Index Rebounds, Project Inquiries Near 8-Year High

August 21, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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The American Institute of Architects’ (AIA) ABI Index – a leading indicator of non-residential construction activity – rebounded to 52.7 from 51.6 in June and broke 50 for the third…

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July Global Steel Production Drops Less than Seasonally Normal as Chinese Output Remains Robust

August 20, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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July global steel production declined 2.2% to 4.269 million tonnes per day (tpd), less than the normal seasonal drop of 3.5%, mainly due to persistent overproduction from China…

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Domestic Raw Steel Production, Capacity Utilization Up Slightly

August 20, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Weekly domestic raw steel production increased 0.9% from last week’s 1.862 million tons (mt) to 1.878 mt for the week ending August 17, 2013, and is some 0.1% above the year-ago level of 1.876 mt.

We would caution readers that only half of the AISI reporting companies release their weekly production in “real time” so the other half of this data is estimated using the last month’s reported production & operating rate. What this means is that when production is changing, the weekly data is actually understating the change.

Capacity utilization also increased from 77.7% last week to 78.4% this week, and is above the year-ago level of 75.9%.

The lowest production since the recession began was 800,000 tons for the week of December 27, 2008, while the highest was 2.005 mt for the week of May 12, 2012. The lowest capacity utilization rate since the recession began was 33.5% for the week of December 27, 2008; the highest was 81.1% on May 12, 2012.

Source: AISI and Steel Market Intelligence

Iron Ore Price Jumps to Five-Month High

August 19, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The spot reference price for 62% Fe iron ore cfr North China rose 3.6% to $137.90 for the week ending August 16, 2013, climbing to a five-month high.  The price rose as high as $142.80 on August 14 before falling slightly at the end of the week.

The spot price for iron ore averaged $112.12 in 3Q12, $120.57 in 4Q12, $148.16 in 1Q13, and $125.76 in 2Q13; the full-year 2012 average was $128.30.

The post-recession low was $59.10 on March 27, 2009, while the high was $190.19 on February 17, 2011.

Source: The Steel Index

U.S. Rig Count Hits Eight-Month High, Canadian Count Remains at Five-Month High

August 19, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The number of active oil and natural gas rigs in the United States increased 0.7% from last week’s 1,778 to 1,791 for the week ending August 16, 2013, reaching the highest count since December 14, 2012.  Despite the climb, the count is some 6.4% below the year-ago level of 1,914.

The highest weekly rig count in the United States since 1940 was recorded on December 28, 1981, at 4,530; the lowest was recorded on April 23, 1999, at 488.

The number of rigs in Canada remained at 358 this week, which is still the highest count since March 22, 2013.  The count is also some 9.8% above the year-ago level of 326.

The highest rig count for Canada was 727 on February 3, 2006; the lowest was 29, recorded on April 24, 1992.

Source: Baker Hughes Inc.

July Flat-Rolled Inventory Drops Further; Shipments Weaken After Strong June

August 16, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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There was a reasonable amount of good news in the July MSCI report. First, in an unusual move, flat-rolled inventories dropped nearly 3% from June; it’s rare to see inventories…

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Advance/Decliner Index Moves Sideways on Higher China, Weaker Elsewhere

August 15, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Our Advance/Decliner Index posted a nominal improvement as a 2.3% increase in iron ore prices, bullish comments about the Chinese real estate market and a 2.1% drop in final…

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