Domestic Raw Steel Production Falls To 20-Month Low

October 1, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

For the week ending September 29, 2012, weekly domestic raw steel production declined 2.4% to 1.780 million tons (mt), the lowest level since January 2011 and came in below 1.8 mt for the first time in the last year.

We would caution readers that only half of the AISI reporting companies release their weekly production in “real time” so the other half of this data is estimated using the last month’s reported production & operating rate. What this means is that when production is changing, the weekly data is actually understating the change.

Capacity utilization fell to 72.0% this week, below last week’s 73.8% and the year-ago level of 72.8%.

The lowest production level since the recession began was 800,000 tons for the week of December 27, 2008, while the highest level was 2.005 mt for the week of May 12, 2012. The lowest capacity utilization rate since the recession began was 33.5% for the week of December 27, 2008; the highest was 81.1% on May 12, 2012.

Source: AISI and Steel Market Intelligence

U.S. Rig Count Falls Again, Canada Slips

October 1, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The number of active oil and natural gas rigs in the United States fell by 11 to 1,848 for the week ending September 21, 2012, down 0.6% from the previous week and 7.1% from a year-ago – reaching the lowest level since May 2011.

The highest weekly rig count in the United States since 1940 was recorded on December 28, 1981, at 4,530; the lowest was recorded on April 23, 1999, at 488.

The number of rigs in Canada fell 1.1% to 359 from 363 last week, after having posted 3 consecutive weekly increases – the count remained some 29.6% below the year-ago level.

The highest rig count for Canada was 727 on February 3, 2006; the lowest was 29, recorded on April 24, 1992.

Source: Baker Hughes Inc.

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October 1, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Steel Market Production Changes – September 28, 2012

September 28, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Increases – Mexican steel producer AHMSA plans to finish the expansion of the Monclova integrated flats and longs mill in early 2013, which will increase capacity by 40% to 5.5 million tpy.

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese steelmaker Xinjiang Yili Iron & Steel started the testing phase of a new 800,000 tpy bar mill this week that will contribute toward the company’s capacity goal of 2 million tpy.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Spanish steel company Alfonso Gallardo intends to shut down the Corrugados Getafe rebar mill outside of Madrid due to weak construction demand. The mill has capacity of 400,000-500,000 tpy but is presently operating at under 50% of capacity (200,000 – 205,000 tpy).

Sources: Steel Business Briefing

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September 28, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Lead Times Contract Across all Flat Products – HRC Hits 13-Week Low

September 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

HRC lead times for the week ending September 23 deteriorated to a 13-week low of 2.9 weeks from 3.1 in the previous week.

Lead times for HDG declined to a 17 week low of 5.4 weeks from last week’s 5.6, while CRC lead times fell to an 11-week low of 5.4 weeks from 6.2 in the previous week.

Sources: The Steel Index, Steel Business Briefing

Steel Market Production Changes – September 26 and 27, 2012

September 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Cuts – Italian steelmaker ILVA has been given a direct order to shutter the hot end at the 11 million tpy Taranto plant after the  judge denied a plan that would allow production to continue at 70% of capacity during the renovation process.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Baosteel, China’s largest steel company, halted operations at the 3 million tpy plate mill in Luojing, Shanghai to prevent further operating losses.

Steel Market Production Increases – Production will begin shortly at Mexican steel company Deacero’s new 500,000 tpy Ramos Arizpe longs mill, with the potential for capacity to eventually increase to 1.5 million tpy, adding to existing output of 3 million tpy.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Japanese rebar producer Kyoei Steel will cut production further in September and October, increasing the total cut from 30-40% to 50%.

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese steelmaker Weiyuan Iron & Steel Company has ordered a new 650,000 tpy wire rod mill expected to come on line in 2Q 2013.

Steel Market Production Increases – Turkish steel company Izmir Demir Celik (IDC) is planning to begin test-runs of a new 400,000 tpy medium sections mill sometime in December. The new mill will increase IDC’s total finished steel capacity to 1.3 million tpy.

Steel Market Production Increases – Russian pipe maker Vyksa will begin installing three new welded pipe mills before the end of 2012, with a start-up goal of mid-2013. The new mills will replace the current four mills at the No.2 pipe shop and will increase capacity by nearly 50% to 300,000 tpy.

Sources: Steel Business Briefing, SteelOrbis

September OCTG Prices Post Largest Drop in Three Years

September 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

New Report Preview:

According to Pipe Logix, September OCTG prices declined for the sixth consecutive month, falling $40/ton (or 2.1%) to $1,811/ton, as seamless prices slid 2.6% for the single …more

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Chinese Steel Production Flash – Mid-September Production Declines Again to Seven-Month Low

September 26, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Estimated Chinese steel production declined 2.0% in mid-September to 1.857 million tonnes per day (mtpd) after a surprising 1.2% increase in early September which we …more

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Advance/Decliner Index Jumps to Six-Week High

September 26, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Our Advance/Decliner Index jumped to a six-week high as a surge of pricing strength drove our China Index to the highest level since August 2011. Spot hot-rolled coil (HRC) …more

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