Posts Tagged: ‘steel prices’

Ternium (TX) – Higher Costs in 1Q to Weigh on Results – Thoughts from the 4Q Conference Call

February 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Ternium S.A. (TX) reported 4Q EBITDA of $369.6m, beating the Street’s forecast of $346.3m and 4Q 2010 EBITDA of $237m but down 18% sequentially.

Guidance is for operating income to decrease sequentially in 1Q mainly because of higher costs owing to exchange rate changes and higher cost slabs flowing through inventory. Shipments are expected to be stable, with stronger shipments in Mexico in 1Q as North American demand improves offsetting a seasonally slower period in Argentina.

Management noted that it will have more details about the company’s Usiminas investment in March.

Our full report is available to subscribers only and provides further thoughts on Ternium’s 4Q earnings report and conference call as well as the implication for the stock and other equities.

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Tenaris (TS) – Continued Move to Premium Products Will Mitigate – Not Protect – from the Pain of a Jump in Supply – Thoughts from the 4Q Conference Call

February 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Tenaris (TS) reported 4Q EBITDA of $709.6m, ahead of the Street’s $690.3m and 3Q’s $620.3m, and up 38% from year-ago.  EBITDA margins improved in 4Q as higher volumes led to greater fixed-cost absorption.

Guidance for 1Q was for lower sales and operating income due to seasonal maintenance outages and lower shipments in the Projects segment, although management expects both sales and operating income for full-year 2012 to rise versus 2012 due to in part to an improved product mix.  The company expects 2012 sales of tubular products for demanding applications to grow faster than for standard products as customers undertake investments in more difficult operating conditions.

Our full report is available to subscribers only and provides further thoughts on Tenaris’ 4Q earnings report and conference call as well as the implication for the stock and other equities.

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L.B. Foster (FSTR) – Outlook for Rail and Tubular Markets Bright, Construction Market to Remain Competitive – Thoughts from the 4Q Conference Call

February 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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L.B. Foster (FSTR) reported adjusted 4Q earnings of $0.62/share, missing the Street’s $0.67/share, as the company’s construction products business saw a sharp drop in 4Q sales.

While the company’s visibility into 2012 is limited for construction markets due to the lack of a new transportation bill, management believes that the non-res construction market has bottomed.  The outlook for the rail segment is brighter due to strong capex spending budgets from North American class 1 railroads in 2012 as well as increased rail traffic.  The company also expects continued growth in its tubular business in 2012.

Our full report is available to subscribers only and provides further thoughts on L.B. Foster’s 4Q earnings report and conference call as well as the implication for the stock and other equities.

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February 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Steel Market Production Changes – February 24, 2012

February 24, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Cuts – ArcelorMittal’s 1.8 mtpy capacity coil plant in Sestao, northern Spain, is expected to continue to be idled during March, due to minimal scrap purchases in the last two weeks.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Moldova Steel Works’ (MMZ), which has been idle for the last two months, should have resumed production in the past few days, but its restart will be delayed for a few more weeks due to scrap procurement issues.

Sources: Steel Business Briefing

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February 24, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Steel Market Production Changes – February 23, 2012

February 24, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Cuts – Luxembourg-based steel producer ArcelorMittal has extended the temporary idling of two blast furnaces at its Florange site in eastern France due to poor demand and slower than expected recovery.

Steel Market Production Increases – Mechel, the Russia-based metal and mining company, has resumed the operations at three out of its four mills in Romania, and production at the remaining plant, Targoviste is due to restart on February 27th.

Steel Market Production Increases – Vallourec SA is nearing completion of its new 500,000 tpy seamless pipe mill in Youngstown, Ohio, with the mill on schedule to restart commercial production this summer as it ramps up to the targeted capacity.

Steel Market Production Increases – Vietnam’s SSE Steel is defying difficult market conditions to bet on the future of the construction sector in Vietnam by adding 350,000 tpy of new rebar and wire rod capacity by the end of 2012.

Sources: American Metal Market and Steel Business Briefing.

Initial Jobless Claims Stay Flat Week of Feb. 18

February 23, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims the week of February 18, 2012, totaled 351,000, unchanged from a revised estimate of 351,000 the week of February 11, 2012, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. The seasonally adjusted four-week moving average dropped slightly, decreasing by 7,000 from a revised 366,000 to 359,000

Insured Unemployment Figures Also Steady

Looking at seasonally adjusted unemployment figures, the advance seasonally adjusted unemployment rate the week of February 18 was 2.7%, also unchanged from the prior week. Meanwhile, the advance seasonally adjusted total number of insured unemployed people declined about 1%, from 3.44 million to 3.39 million. The four-week moving average also decreased about 1%, from about 3.5 million to 3.45 million.

Actual Claims Fall

The actual (unadjusted) number of initial unemployment claims the week of February 18 was a slightly lower 345,216, a decrease of 19,888 from the previous week’s figure of 365,104. The advance unadjusted unemployment rate the week of January 28, 2012 was 3.1%, up slightly from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 3.1%.

Fewer Federal Employees, Vets File Initial Claims

A total of 1,383 former federal civilian employees filed initial unemployment claims the week of February 11, a 12% decline from 1,578 the prior week. And in a shift from the trend of the past few weeks, there were 2,520 initial claims from newly discharged veterans, a 10% drop from 2,723 the week before.

California Changes Pace in Initial Claims

California has led all states in the number of initial claims for the past few weeks tracked by the Department of Labor. However, for the week ending February 11, California has the highest number of decreases (-8,462). The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending February 11 were in Massachusetts (+853), Puerto Rico (+352), Nebraska ( +345), Hawaii (+ 85), and Rhode Island (+69), while the largest decreases besides California occurred in Pennsylvania (-3,789), New York (-2,429), North Carolina (-2,199), and South Carolina (-1,538).

Source: US Department of Labor

Advance/Decliner Index Rebounds as MENA Pricing Strengthens

February 23, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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After falling to a 10-week low of 49% last week, our Advance/Decliner Index rebounded to 66% as steel prices strengthened in the MENA region on the back of higher scrap prices, pushing our Ex-China Index up to 71% from 50%.

Our China Index remained mostly stable at 50%, compared with 46% the week prior.  The Chinese market is still treading water – with some increases here and there, but just as many decreases.  We suspect the usual post-holiday pickup is not yet appearing largely because the holidays were so early this year and winter is still blunting construction demand.

Our full report provides further thoughts about global steel pricing trends and our outlook as well as implications for steel equities.

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ABI Posts Third Consecutive Reading Above 50 – More Bullish Reads on the Domestic Economy

February 23, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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The American Institute of Architects’ ABI Index – a leading economic indicator of non-residential construction activity 9-12 months into the future –  remained above 50 in January, coming in at 50.9, virtually unchanged from 51.0 in December, and the first three-month string of readings above 50 since last spring.  The reading above 50 means the number of architects reporting “rising billings” outpaced the number reporting “declining billings.”

The new inquiries index remained near a four and a half year high at 61.2, while six out of the eight sub-indices posted readings above the 50 mark, indicative of billings growth.

Our full report is available to subscribers and provides further thoughts on the January ABI Index as well as the impact on steel equities.

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