Just When You Thought it Was Safe to Get Back Into the Water………..

July 16, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Chinese economic data questioned? Bloomberg Business Week talks about Chinese data quality – just you thought it was safe to rely on the seemingly increasingly professionalized data communiques from Beijing, the folks at Bloomberg articulate what we’ve all always suspected – quoting Li Keqiang, in a Wikileaked communique in 2007 saying that “the figures that go into China’s  gross domestic product are “man made”…..and “for reference only”.

Bloomberg points to the slowing of electricity demand – a key correlate of GDP in our view – at a far greater pace than the reported slowing of GDP in China, and reminds us of the regime change coming in the fall, and the need for “stability” ahead.

Real Question – Does China’s steel market FEEL like the economy is growing at 7.6%? With Chinese steel production off 2.6% from  April, prices declining week-by-week, and exports hitting two-year records, we think NOT!

 

 

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