Iron Ore Price Jumps to Highest Level in 15 Months

January 4, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The spot reference price for 62% Fe iron ore cfr North China Increased 3.0% to $139.40 for the week ending December 28, 2012. The price has since moved up another 10.0% this week to $153.30 – the highest level since 10/18/2011 and some 76.8% higher than the recent low of $86.70 on 9/5/2012.

The spot price for iron ore averaged $141.84 in 1Q, $139.35 in 2Q, and $112.12 in 3Q; this compares to an average of $167.59 for full-year 2011.

The post-recession low was $59.10 on March 27, 2009, while the high was $190.19 on February 17, 2011.

Source: The Steel Index

Lead Times for HRC and CRC Climb – Coated Flat

January 3, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

HRC lead times rose for the week ending December 30 to 3.4 from the 5-week low of 3.1 last week.

CRC lead times also rose – coming in at 6.0 weeks from last week’s 8-week low of 5.7. HDG lead times came in flat at 6.0 weeks.

Sources: The Steel Index, Steel Business Briefing

HRC = Hot Rolled Coil
CRC = Cold Rolled Coil
HDG = Hot Dipped Galvanized

Domestic Raw Steel Production Pulls Back

January 2, 2013 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

For the week ending December 29, 2012, weekly domestic raw steel production fell 0.7% to 1.827 million tons (mt), but is up 8.8% from the recent low of 1.679 mt for the week of October 27, 2012.

We would caution readers that only half of the AISI reporting companies release their weekly production in “real time” so the other half of this data is estimated using the last month’s reported production & operating rate. What this means is that when production is changing, the weekly data is actually understating the change.

Capacity utilization came in at 73.9%, up from 74.5% last week, but still down from the year-ago level of 75.3%.

The lowest production since the recession began was 800,000 tons for the week of December 27, 2008, while the highest was 2.005 mt for the week of May 12, 2012. The lowest capacity utilization rate since the recession began was 33.5% for the week of December 27, 2008; the highest was 81.1% on May 12, 2012.

Source: AISI and Steel Market Intelligence

 

Advance/Decliner Index Jumps to Highest Level in Over a Year

December 31, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Our Advance/Decliner Index jumped to the highest level in a year on broad-based global pricing strength in a holiday-shortened week. Our China Index rose to the highest… more

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U.S. Rig Count Drops for 5th Straight Week; Canada Sees Usual Year-End Plunge

December 31, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

The number of active oil and natural gas rigs in the United States fell for the fifth straight week – declining by 11 to a 22-month low of 1,763 for the week ending December 28, 2012 – down 0.6% from last week and 12.2% from a year ago.

The highest weekly rig count in the United States since 1940 was recorded on December 28, 1981, at 4,530; the lowest was recorded on April 23, 1999, at 488.

The number of rigs in Canada showed its usual year-end plunge – down 46.9% to 204 from 384 last week, and some 7.7% below the year-ago level.

The highest rig count for Canada was 727 on February 3, 2006; the lowest was 29, recorded on April 24, 1992.

Source: Baker Hughes Inc.

 

Steel Market Production Report – SIDOR Limps Back Into Rebar Market

December 28, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Increases – Venezuelan state-owned steelmaker SIDOR re-started one of the two blast furnaces at its slab mill after being idled for 25 days because of a limestone shortage and is using the output to produce rebar.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Chinese steelmaker Shandong has been ordered by the Chinese government to cut crude capacity by 14.9 mtpy and finished capacity by 22 mtpy over the next three years.

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese steelmaker Shougang has fired the furnace at a new 1.1 mtpy wire rod mill and plans to begin production in mid-January.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Egyptian steelmaker Ezz halted production at the 1.3 mtpy Suez HRC facility on Tuesday due to a strike and will resume production once the dispute is resolved.

Sources: Steel Business Briefing, American Metal Market

Chinese Steel Production Flash – December Steel Production Falling

December 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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After falling 0.8% in early December, Chinese steel production estimated by the China Iron & Steel Association (CISA) for the second 10 days of December declined another …more

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November Steel Imports Post Surprising Increase; Semis and Rebar Surge

December 27, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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November preliminary steel imports rose a surprising 4.7% to 2.66 million tons (mt) from October’s 2.54 mt as semi-finished tonnage jumped nearly 40% to the highest level…more

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Steel Market Production Report – ArcelorMittal Re-Starts Brazilian Blast Furnace

December 26, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

Steel Market Production Increases – ArcelorMittal has restarted the 3.5 mtpy blast furnace No. 1 at its 7.5 mtpy Tubarao facility in Brazil.

Steel Market Production Cuts – Following a pattern that has been in effect since 2010, most of Italy’s longs producers are idling their facilities for 2 to 4 weeks during the holiday season. This includes rebar producers Feralpi, Calvisano, Ferriere Nord, and Alfa, as well as sections producer Stefana and merchant bar producer Beltrame.

Steel Market Production Increases – Chinese longs producer Tianjin has successfully completed the testing phase of the continuous caster and wire rod line at the recently relocated N0. 3 Steel Rolling Mill.

Sources: Steel Business Briefing, SteelOrbis

Advance/Decliner Index Slips – Strengthening Iron Prices Provide a Backstop

December 26, 2012 Posted by Steel Market Intelligence

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Our Advance/Decliner Index slipped from last week’s 9-month high, while our China Index stayed strong – though down slightly from last week- as Chinese mills increased…more

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